Optimal Decision-Making of Countermeasures by Estimating Their Expected Utilities

This paper investigates the autonomous decision-making process of the selection of alternative countermeasures against threats in electronic warfare settings. We introduce a threat model, which represents a specific threat pattern, and a methodology that decides the best countermeasure against real-time threats using the decision theory. To determine the optimal countermeasure, we model the probabilities of the effects of countermeasures, if executed, and combine the probabilities with their utilities. This methodology based upon the inductive threat model calculates the expected utilities of countermeasures which are applicable given a situation, and provide an intelligent command and control agent with the best countermeasure to threats. We present empirical results that demonstrate the agent’s capabilities of choosing countermeasures to threats in simulated electronic warfare settings. key words: autonomous agent, decision theory, decision-making of countermeasures, electronic warfare settings